SMLE Draft Expert S30 Mock Draft

Draft Awards

Best Draft: Steelers - It was a tough one to grade as there were many guys who zoned in on a deep draft for good backups and starters all over. But the Steelers capitilised on LT Frank Foley (80, quick) when he magically dropped to no7, then picked up quick dev SS Long Lucas in the 3rd and WR Mario Flowers in the 6th, and stole star dev RT Banks Cook in the 4th. They didn't drop below 70 with their TE and other LT drafted too.
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Worst Draft: Browns - Again, it was a tough one as no-one did that poorly. A decent pick in DT Wade (76ovr) in the 1st and CB Sanders (74ovr) in the 4th but their TE in the 2nd was just as good as the speedy TE being drafted in the 6th round, and the rest of the rookies (FS, FS, WR) are low.
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Most likely to Boom:  Deonte Pegues, HB, Bills - The weapon of the draft was being fought between the Pegasus and the Traffic Cone. The Pegasus dropped to the middle of the 1st round and the 81ovr quick dev HB looks like lightning in a bottle and an instant starter.
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Most likely to Bust: Zack Cone, HB, Seahawks - He needs some work, and considering he was the no9 pick, it's a lot to ask for a 74ovr quick dev Power Back who can't truck and looks injury prone. Let's see what he can do in 10 games before being knocked out for the season.
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Steal of the Draft: Blair Schmidt, QB, Chargers - The Chargers finally have a QB and they didn't have to sacrifice a 1st round pick to one (which the Coach is loathe to do)! The 79ovr Quick Dev chucker is an instant starter.
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Reach of the Draft: Shawn McBriar, C, Dolphins - In defense of this pick, it was made by a 3 year old (the Coach's kid was asked who does he like the look of) but considering there were 72 to 75 ovr OL being picked from the 3rd right to the 7th this becomes an easy reach.
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Solid Pick: Antonio Hill, CB, Texans - Considering Hill was mocked to the Jets at 16, it was a surprise to see him go at pick 30 and at 78ovr and the only Superstar Dev in the draft the Texans landed yet another piece to an already stacked team.
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Daring Pick: DJ Banks, ROLB, Broncos - Whilst Banks wasn't a lock for the 1st round, he was picking up traction just before the draft and went to a team with two established starters. He's an expensive rotational backup but he's a very good one at that.
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Buccs play a 3-4 - Matt, although cpu drafted a QB. Not one starter drafted, easily candidate for worst draft!

I tend to take into account if the coach was present or not in awards, not fair to pin a worst draft on a draft board, or worse, an auto-draft.

So according to the draft recap,

I guessed 4 picks correctly.... not my best attempt. (Titans, Redskins, Bengals, Ravens CB)
I predicted 6 further positions (Ravens OL, Bills HB, Raiders S, Broncos LB, Cowboys LB, Colts OL)
I got 22 other picks really wrong ha.
I missed 7 players off my mock who moved up so I got 25 players predicted to be 1st rounders.

In other news... just to rub it in, had some coaches listened to the mock they'd be up on overall and dev as my prediction metric showed I ended up +7ovr on predictions and +80 in dev value (ignoring un-mocked players). But then some coaches like the Texans, Packers and Bills played their own cards right!

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Hopefully DeBose turns into a lurk machine for me. He was 80 when I drafted him and even when I changed from ROLB to MLB in game. DL showing 78 OVR now for some reason though. Either way I didn't expect to get 2 day one starters and a Star dev HB out of this draft especially without a 2nd rounder. Seems like there weren't many studs but a lot of depth this draft.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] It's a problem with Madden that they judge MLB ovr more strictly than OLB therefore the shift from mlb-olb swings between 2ovr and 4ovr. This isn't factored into the calc either so MLBs are worth less than they should be. Hopefully new OVR in m20 fixes that somewhat.